Florida State
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
52  Carmela Cardama Baez SO 19:48
397  Bridget Blake JR 20:45
490  Megan Mooney FR 20:55
529  Catherine Blaney SR 20:59
1,102  Tara Rooney JR 21:39
1,313  Fatema Jaffer SO 21:51
1,454  Hailey Hendry FR 22:00
1,673  Sarah Candiano SO 22:13
1,718  Madison Harris SO 22:16
1,792  Marianne Aguilar JR 22:20
2,000  Jessica Lonas SO 22:33
2,062  Bella Poole JR 22:37
2,404  Althea Hewitt SO 23:01
2,435  Claire Hooker FR 23:04
2,761  Katherine Kuhn FR 23:37
2,997  Kelly Aponte FR 24:13
3,149  Mackenzie Baysinger SO 24:42
3,248  Katherine Patrick FR 25:07
3,286  Gabrielle Jaromin FR 25:21
3,333  Katarina Jernberg FR 25:35
3,339  Kayla Thomas SO 25:37
National Rank #69 of 344
South Region Rank #6 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.2%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 18.2%
Top 10 in Regional 97.3%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Carmela Cardama Baez Bridget Blake Megan Mooney Catherine Blaney Tara Rooney Fatema Jaffer Hailey Hendry Sarah Candiano Madison Harris Marianne Aguilar Jessica Lonas
adidas Challenge 09/16 887 19:43 20:41 20:58 21:01 21:52 21:34 21:52 22:56 21:58
Gator Cross Country Invitational 09/24 1297 22:32
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 864 19:52 20:39 20:37 21:01 21:51 22:04 21:38 22:43
FSU Invitational 10/07 1160 20:46 21:12 21:50 22:14 21:50 22:18 22:42 21:48 22:32 22:14
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 904 19:48 20:57 20:47 20:54 21:43 22:07 22:28
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/14 1267 22:01 22:01 22:24 22:46
ACC Championships 10/28 895 19:47 20:51 20:59 20:45 21:44 21:45 22:13 22:07 22:38 22:26
South Region Championships 11/11 925 19:47 21:05 21:10 20:50 21:12 22:03 21:46





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.2% 27.5 618 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 7.0 240 0.1 1.2 5.1 11.9 21.6 23.6 19.1 11.3 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carmela Cardama Baez 78.4% 51.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.5 1.2 1.2 1.4
Bridget Blake 0.3% 165.0
Megan Mooney 0.2% 186.0
Catherine Blaney 0.2% 185.0
Tara Rooney 0.2% 242.0
Fatema Jaffer 0.2% 248.0
Hailey Hendry 0.2% 249.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carmela Cardama Baez 3.0 15.6 18.4 16.0 11.6 9.5 6.6 5.4 3.6 3.0 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Bridget Blake 36.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.5
Megan Mooney 45.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.7 1.2
Catherine Blaney 50.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.6
Tara Rooney 99.9
Fatema Jaffer 113.6
Hailey Hendry 124.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 1.2% 8.3% 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.1 3
4 5.1% 5.1 4
5 11.9% 11.9 5
6 21.6% 21.6 6
7 23.6% 23.6 7
8 19.1% 19.1 8
9 11.3% 11.3 9
10 3.6% 3.6 10
11 1.7% 1.7 11
12 0.6% 0.6 12
13 0.4% 0.4 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.1 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Alabama 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 2.0 0.1
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.4% 1.0 0.0
Texas 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0